In this work we analyze market payoffs of Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and we derive rigorous standard market formulas for pricing options on CDS. Formulas are based on modelling CDS spreads which are consistent with simple market payoffs, and we introduce a subfiltration structure allowing all measures to be equivalent to the risk neutral measure. Then we investigate market CDS spreads through c...

in the explosive growth of business to business (b2b) electronic trades, electronic markets have received a great deal of attention recently. the obtained profit of trading in e-b2b market encourage market participants to remain in the market. market participants consist of: sellers, buyers, and market owner. in this paper the expected profit function for each market participant has been define...

in searching a market-neutral arbitrage strategy in forex market, we took a portfolio of three major currency pairs, eur-usd, usd-jpy, and eur-jpy. there are eight approaches, different cases of short and long positions; for example buying 1st and selling two others, etc. historical daily fx rates were gathered since january 1990 until february 2011. monthly covariances between daily growth rat...

Using a variety of different definitions of “neutrality,” this study presents significant evidence against the neutrality to market risk of hedge funds in a range of style categories. I generalize standard definitions of “market neutrality,” and propose five different neutrality concepts. I suggest statistical tests for each neutrality concept, and apply these tests to a database of monthly ret...

with considering a ‘triangle of three major currency pairs’, there is a tiny difference between multiplication of exchange rate for the first two currency pairs and the third. to discover whether this little difference can lead to a neutral arbitrage or not, i took portfolios of 35 baskets of three major currency pairs(combinations of all 7 major currencies). there are eight approaches (differe...

We develop a risk-neutral spot and equity option market simulator for single underlying, under which the joint process is martingale. leverage an efficient low-dimensional representation of preserves no static arbitrage, employ neural spline flows to simulate samples are free from conditional drifts highly realistic in sense that among all possible simulators, obtained closest historical data w...

Distantly maturing forward rates represent the markets long term (risk neutral) expectations about interest rates. As such, they are the fundamental ingredient of the pricing kernel. In most equilibrium models, interest rates mean revert, and long forward rates are asymptotically constant. However, from US Treasury STRIPs data, forward rates slope increasingly downwards, and do not attenuate in...

In the explosive growth of Business to Business (B2B) Electronic Trades, electronic markets have received a great deal of attention recently. The obtained profit of trading in E-B2B market encourage market participants to remain in the market. Market participants consist of: sellers, buyers, and market owner. In this paper the expected profit function for each market participant has been define...